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Advancement chances tick lower for E-4, E-5, and E-6

May. 19, 2014 - 02:25PM   |  
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The wait is on for the 78,961 sailors who will find out Friday if they got one of the 18,482 quotas to move into or up the petty officer ranks, according to quotas approved by the chief of naval personnel Monday.

The overall chance to advance has declined 4.3 percent, from 27.71 percent to 23.41 percent — slightly above the current 10-year average of 23.16 percent.

All pay grades from E-4 through E-6 saw a decrease in the chance to move up and officials are blaming it on too many sailors wanting to stay in the ranks.

“We continue to see excellent enlisted retention, resulting in a slight decrease in this cycle’s advancement numbers,” Vice Adm. Bill Moran, the chief of naval personnel, said in a statement on Friday. “Advancement rates, at or near the ten-year average, moving beyond the drawdown and post-ERB advancement spike has been our prediction and we are just about there — however, moving forward, the goal is greater stability across the board—in end-strength, advancement rates and community health.”

At the E-6 level, opportunity decreased 3.37 percent to 15.83 percent, down from 19.20 percent last fall, with 20,168 E-5s competing for 3,192 quotas. That’s still above the E-6 10-year average of 13.1 percent.

For the 35,833 E-4s competing for 7,128 chances for a second stripe, the overall opportunity dropped from 25.06 percent last fall to 19.89 percent, a decrease of 5.17 percent. At E-5, too, the chance is still above the historic 10-year average of 21.4 percent.

For those seeking to get into the petty officer ranks at the E-4 level, the chance to sew on a first crow for the 22,60 eligible E-3s competing for 8,192 quotas dropped from 40.23 percent last fall to 35.54 percent this cycle — a slide that has taken E-4 slightly below the 37.5 percent 10-year average

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